For Whom The Bell’s Tolled - AVweb

I loathe puns and shun those who wield them in lieu of wit. If you could see me … well, it means my computer camera’s on again, and I won’t apologize for the kombucha-stained yoga pants. Still, you’d quiver at the intense disapproval my face exudes at this article’s title. That expression may have an alternate cause, affecting fitness for flight and could explain why People magazine once again passed me over for Sexiest Man Alive. Face it, 2020’s been “annus horribilis,” but that doesn’t explain why I currently resemble a one-eyed Wiley Post imitating Buddy Hackett.


This is a companion discussion topic for the original entry at https://www.avweb.com/insider/for-whom-the-bells-tolled

The nuances of international trade are even more contentious than the age-old question of “how is lift created?”

The exodus of aircraft manufacturers pre-dates the China acquisitions, There WAS a time when the U.S. was the “Airplane maker for the World”. Airliners, military aircraft, commuter airliners, and General Aviation aircraft were primarily made in the USA. What happened?

Airbus was created by a consortium of foreign governments to directly challenge the U.S. dominance in airliners. Lockheed and Douglas couldn’t compete–only Boeing was strong enough to compete with government funding.

Military aircraft are often constrained by restrictions on exporting high technology–as well as foreign alliances.

Commuter airliners became a thing of the past for most of the U.S. market (remember Beech 99s and 1900’s? Merlin IVs? Twin Otters, Skyvans, and Islanders?). About the only “commuter category” airplanes in the U.S. today are old Cessna 402s or Caravans. The U.S. marketplace demanded better–and the FAA adoption of the “equivalent level of safety” with large airliners (along with the loss of “Essential Air Service” subsidies sealed their fate.

General aviation succumbed to a perfect storm of problems–high interest rates, high fuel costs, high legal costs throughout the industry, greatly increased costs for new aircraft, parts, and accessories–AND fewer pilots, as the WW II generation retired and were not replaced.

The rest of the world was ready to pick up the slack in the aviation industry–China, India, Europe, and Brazil–aided by government help. Unlike private capital, government doesn’t need to show a profit or return on investment for shareholders–they do it to build an industry, employ people, and to import research and technology.

Government, instead of helping, became part of the problem. FAA regulation became so onerous that production was moved outside of the U.S. Consider the case of Diamond Aircraft as an example–it was faster and cheaper for Diamond to certify its aircraft in the European Union–then build a plant in Canada and certify them there–THEN bring them into the U.S based on reciprocity agreements. Canada has “certification centres”–where new aircraft and parts can be certified there, THEN certified in the U.S. based on reciprocity. When it came to LSA’s, the FAA certification process became so onerous that the EU standard was adopted for certification–thus the 1320# gross weight limitation–the EU 600 kg. (Is it any WONDER that the vast majority of LSAs have been produced in Europe?)

Paul’s last paragraph is “dead on” the money–it bears re-reading it. Without changes in capital, ownership, technology exports, regulation, tariffs, and taxation–the U.S. will CONTINUE to cede leadership in the industry. Don’t let it happen AGAIN!

justthenews.com/world/asia/made-china-owned-china-20-deals-show-how-china-gobbling-us-assets

Canada, while presently complaining, and Mexico, while resigned, are being bought out by China as the U.S. is now. This topic was argued here about 10 years ago in anticipation of the Cirrus Chinese acquisition. Coincidentally, the CIA reported on the Chinese Five-Year Plan and its conflict with U.S. military and economic urgencies, but apparently to no avail as the Chinese buyouts continue. Rapacious indeed.

…speaking of rapacious, selfish, unethical, inhumane, irresponsible draft-and-taxdodging capitalist$! Yeah, my widdle feelings DO get hurt when my president (small p) attacks the essence of democracy and avoidably kills thousands of my Countrymen ( big C) by lying about COVID-19 and mocking masks hoping to sustain profits and power.
Why don’t yours, Phil?
Actually, your declaring that POTUS and his sycophants suing everyone to overturn the election somehow SUPPORTS “freedoms and CONSTITUTION” answers that question.

China has basically exploited a loop-hole in global free trade, and that loop-hole is exactly this: “American capital’s vision extends typically to the next quarter, not the next decade or even the next year”. That same loop-hole is what allowed the executives at Boeing to get rich while their engineering talent went into poverty (metaphorically speaking), and we got the 737 MAX debacle as a result. And you have to admit, planned economies under Communism does have some advantages. The problem for American Capitalism is that it often needs some big goal to work toward that includes multiple industries in order for it to really shine, and at the moment we don’t really have such a goal.

By the way, can we all just agree to leave the snarky political comments on Facebook?

As soon as I read the first paragraph, it was clear that the acerbic Bertorelli was the author. I always like his stuff.

I spent 40 years in medicine and reaped the “benefits” of government control, ditto nearly 40 years of flying in a system that is, as they say, not happy until you are not happy. In both systems the inefficiencies of having government fingers in your pie (and elsewhere) have predictably driven the costs out of sight. In medicine, they prop the whole thing up by bringing in piles of Other People’s Money; in aviation they don’t care so much, so we have the Cuban Car problem: aging machines kept in flying shape by incredible amounts of work, with new machines unaffordable to the average guy. I’m a lucky guy, with two aeroplanes: one 57 years old and one a sprightly 48 - both of which are kept (sometimes) flying only by a work/flight ratio of at least 50:1.

No, the government is congenitally incapable of doing anything right; if our president is not successful in his bid to stay in office, we’re going to get a fine dose of More Government - right in the shorts. Fasten you seat belts, ladies and gentlemen. We’re going in!

Nice quote from NewsMax or Fox noise, but delusional all the same.

“…at the moment we don’t really have such a goal.”
Bread and circus. Such lofty goals. Like a frog in a pot of slowly heating water, we’re doomed.

Note to readers:

Politics often intersects the world of aviation and in this blog, I have not shied from commenting when appropriate. I encourage and appreciate your comments, but I will ask that you keep them civil, respectful, on point and free of snark. I’m laissez faire on the delete key. But it’s still available.

Just sayin.’

Hats off to the best comment on this thread. I see a majority of people reading this just came from CNN. You are not alone in your thoughts or opinions. And it’s nice to see you didn’t adopt the CNN opinions many have been injected with. Wise O? seriously? The little p killed all your countrymen? Stay away from busy streets…you’re bound to get run over.

I couldn’t agree more with Gary B. US Capitalism has a short term focus which often is very beneficial. However, taking the extremely long view I think, “what will the US be remembered for in 500 years?” I think it’s nuclear power and being the first humans off the planet. No capitalist would have tackled these challenges without Government backing.

Gee, I hope you’re not related to Jack Dorsey…

Aren’t you missing the Brian Stelter Show?Or is it Rachel Madcow?

Hi Paul:

Very concise and insightful article as usual. I’m totally amazed at your willingness to wade in where angels fear to tread. BTW; Isn’t it Northrop Grumman?

?

Now that was funny… lol

I see several good comments gone…Shame on you.

I don’t invest in China, ever. Not out of national pride, but out of concern for my own pocket. The country has the ability to nationalize any industry at a moment’s notice, and to control every purchase-and-sale which every one of its companies makes. China is the opposite of free market, and anyone - big or small - who invests is basically just gambling on the whims of the Chinese leaders.

WELL SAID! I especially like the “Cuban Car” reference!