ALPA is full of it. There is definitely a shortage of experienced (not just qualified, two different things) pilots. But I do believe that the airlines in their short sightedness helped create the problem. Entry level pay has always been terrible. Consider that most airlines hire pilots that have several thousand hours and have already been either professional civilian or military pilots and then they are insulted by starting pay that allows (or used to) a pilot family of 4 to be on food stamps. When I started at my first 121 carrier I took a 25% pay cut from my CFI job. The trend continued at my second and third 121 carrier. Sadly they were all managed so poorly that they kept going out of business or into bankruptcy.