Honda is an amazing company with breathtaking engineering and manufacturing capabilities. However the Honda Jet program took around 20+ years from inception to certification, and utilized mature technology that have a well understood certification basis, and they partnered with industry leader GE on the engines. You get a $5m aircraft with around $1,300 /hr operating costs. They spent more than $1 billion on the program and it is unclear how this will ever turn a profit.
My point being even if you know the rules, are using existing mature technology, are the best in the world in engineering and manufacturing, partner with world leading engine experts, and have all the money in the world, it still takes decades to get this done and you don’t make any money.
So if Honda is doing this to prove they can do it, and have the corporate discipline to see how this will benefit them in 20+ years, that makes sense. What does not make sense are these endless AvWeb articles saying that this stuff is around the corner and will be available to the masses in a handful of years. If you disregard all of the areas of power/weight, infrastructure gaps, simple economics, range, maintenance, reliability, safety, automation integration, airspace integration, legal liability framework etc. and focus JUST on the regulatory approval of a non-automated aircraft, is this realistic?
If you put a completely new regulatory framework in place not based on the rules from 40+ years ago, yes maybe you can get Honda eVTOL safely certified in under nine years. Some are fine with throwing the FAA out the window (who likes them anyway? it’s just a bunch of old white males). The existing regs are convoluted path which somehow delivers impressive safety in what it certifies. Is it all needed or can we get rid of some of that overkill? Enormous policy changes are needed to successfully make this vision a reality, and just requesting special equivalent safety rule deviations for each certified component doen’t get to the root of the impediment of gaining approval of disruptive technologies in aviation.
But under the current regs and deviation approval process for e-vehicles, this Press Release’s timeline is not realistic, since getting something like a new jet with existing, proven tech would be a hard stretch to certify in that 2030 timeline.
An eVTOL project with hundreds of new technologies would not be realistic to get certified in 9 years (even without all the levels of automation envisioned). An aviation reporter knows all of this obviously , but we keep seeing these stories every few days because we like concept art and they are effective clickbait to put eyeballs on ads. Let’s just all agree to ignore them until there’s some reporting with some honest effort is provided to put this in context of the regulatory reality.