I didn’t want to get too deep into the weeds in the blog, but here are some numbers. The CDC reports some 5400 hospitalizations of vaccinated people and 1063 deaths. These, says the agency, are likely under reports.
So on a vaccination rate basis, the hospitalizations are at 3.3/100,000 vaccinated and the deaths at 0.6/100,000. Quadruple that to account or under reporting and it’s still pretty low risk compared to no vax.
For comparison, the longer term death rate in the U.S. is 188/100,000. So there is risk for vaccinated people, but despite the fuzziness of the data, it’s a fraction of going without the vaccination.