August 2022
I join your “worth it” sentiment. Beyond the obvious, there are always subtle technological benefits for the general population, as well. I’ll be up early to watch it on TV. I still clearly remember the landing in 1969 … hard to believe that was 53 years ago!
August 2022
July 20 1969 marked my induction into a world of wonder. I was at a forgettable UC Davis student play then when someone dragged a TV onstage. It was worth it for me. On evening walks I gaze at the sky knowing I am part of the universe, made of atoms billions of years old.
August 2022
Society no longer laughs at the idea of smaking one’s wife to the moon.
Society also is not clamoring for another cold war project.
2 replies
August 2022
▶ gregpwyatt
Or… That’s the reason we don’t smak women or spend billions to fight non-existant Russian threats?
August 2022
Best line: “Humankind is a curious, exploratory species.” Excited!
2 replies
August 2022
I was wondering who among the Bert-oterie would have any idea who “Alice” was.
1 reply
August 2022
▶ Arthur_Foyt
Whaddya mean … I have a pic of Alice in the supine position near the Sea of Fecundity.
August 2022
How can a taxpayer opt-out of this monstrous expenditure that comes at a time when our already staggering $31T national debt is increasing at over a $1T annually? What will the hard ROI to us be to go back and pick up a few rocks again, about all we got out of the first moon landings. CNBC: “NASA’s massive moon rocket will cost taxpayers billions more than projected, auditor warns Congress…SpaceX CEO Elon Musk recently estimated that Starship’s development cost would be 5% to 10% of the Apollo-era Saturn V rocket — which, at an inflation-adjusted $50 billion, puts Starship’s development cost at $2.5 billion to $5 billion.” The best steward of money is the person who earned it through his own labor. These billions confiscated from wealth creators for government space travel are all lost opportunity costs. What could have people done with their own money if left in their own pockets? These big rockets are essentially government - funded skyscrapers, described in Mark Thornton’s great book: “The Skyscraper Curse: And How Austrian Economists Predicted Every Major Economic Crisis of the Last Century”
5 replies
August 2022
▶ kent.misegades
Perhaps I have a different perspective, but this taxpayer would rather NOT opt-out of paying for another moon landing. We are (or most of us, anyway) a curious and exploratory species. Otherwise, we would still be in merry old England and/or inhabiting the east coast. I look at this endeavor as an investment in our future rather than as an expenditure. I look at the potential for new jobs and careers. I look at the invention of new technologies and the discovery of new science. I look at the advancement of knowledge. Most important, I look at the advancement of the human race.
When electromagnetic waves were first discovered, I’m certain there were many who thought the basic research was a waste of time and money. After all, there were no radios, televisions, or cell phones. What good were invisible waves through space? If we had backed away and said “This is a waste of money,” where would we be now? Yes, the space program is expensive, but not nearly as expensive as failing to continue to push the boundaries of what we are capable of achieving.
1 reply
August 2022
If they are serious about trip’s back to the moon, they need to dedicate a lander to the backside of the moon, but they wont.
1 reply
August 2022
▶ kent.misegades
“SpaceX CEO Elon Musk recently estimated that Starship’s development cost would be 5% to 10% of the Apollo-era Saturn V rocket”
Elon Musk conveniently leaves out the fact that he’s benefiting from all the R&D NASA did to build Apollo. It’s easy to get an “A” when someone else has done the homework.
Elon is a dwarf standing on the shoulders of the giant Apollo. SpaceX certainly did a lot of work, but they didn’t start from scratch.
4 replies
August 2022
▶ KirkW
It’s also easier to do something once you know it’s technically possible to do it. When Apollo (and its predecessors) were being first designed, it wasn’t even known if we could get to the moon, or even launch a person into orbit and return them alive.
August 2022
▶ KirkW
Again cancelled due to fuel “leaks” at one or more of the main engines - which, by the way, are old shuttle main engines. Meanwhile, Musk is launching about one a week. Double-plus, TWO years between this launch and the next flight - a manned lunar orbital (but not landing, b/c “NASA” hasn’t approved a lunar lander). Lunar landing? Anybody’s guess.
1 reply
August 2022
▶ N9909E
SpaceX has had their own share of "RUD"s and launch delays. That’s just the nature of spaceflight.
August 2022
▶ kent.misegades
Kent M, The $XXX Billions of dollars spent in space programs mostly goes to payroll. Americas’ best and brightest get paid to engineer and draw the plans for each and every little piece and part. Machinist and manufacturers produce each part. Miners dig the materials. People produce the fuels. Pipelines and drivers deliver all these essentials to their destinations. So many other steps and productive people are getting a pay check from our ventures into space.
“What could have people done with their own money if left in their own pockets?”
We need to give them the money first. Many brilliant Americans are acquiring this tax money. I agree with Space spending over international conflict spending.
2 replies
August 2022
August 2022
But hey Paul, I have a neat bridge, er airplane design, to sell you. Yeah, landing gear collapsed in taxi test but it has ‘potential’. :-o)
(Can’t the fools test the stages at a remote facility, through complete burn?)
August 2022
▶ KlausM
Klaus is correct. There have always been naysayers who seem to believe every NASA rocket contains a payload of cash jettisoned into space after launch. The fact is that the money is spent on earth in jobs and materials that ultimately support numerous state and local economies.
August 2022
From its very beginning, the space program has been a tug of war between those that see it as man’s destiny to explore and those that see better uses for taxpayer money spent anywhere else. The main reason for the Apollo program’s success was that there was a national concensus that we needed to face down the Soviet Union for superiority in space. JFK’s commitment to reach the moon by 1970 caught NASA by surprise, but he had the support of the majority of Americans who were willing to pay the price. The Soviet Union no longer exists, and we no longer fear Russian dominance, so that motivation has gone away. But, as Paul points out, we should be concerned with the Chinese, who are clearly pursing dominance in space as a national priority. Whether it’s for peaceful purposes or not is anybody’s guess, but I would prefer to not find out when it’s too late.
As for the cost, NASA is run by the government, which means it has to use subcontractors scattered across the congressional districts of influential politicians - arguably the worst way to fund anything. SpaceX has the advantage of an efficient supply chain and the ability to make changes on the fly by blowing up their mistakes to learn what works best. With their budget constraints, NASA has to be very careful to not make any mistakes because they can’t afford to blow up a single SLS. As for me, count me in on the “Go for TLI” side.
2 replies
August 2022
▶ granburyaircraftserv
NASA will be concentrating on the moon’s polar regions because they are pretty sure there is frozen water there. Water is essential for a permanent base. The equatorial area of the far side has been well observed from satellites, so it has nothing really different from the front side, which we have already visited.
August 2022
▶ Raf
Curiosity is completely useless without a critical mindset.
Example? People today seem quite comfortable “knowing the answers” that are being supplied to them. Not only comfortable, but they feel enlightened and superior at having their university educations and shared viewpoints and having the answers. I really miss Richard Feynman right about now.
August 2022
▶ jbmcnamee
“As for me, count me in on the “Go for TLI” side.”
So does that mean you prefer the “mundane” “go for TLI” call, or the more prescient “venture where no man has gone before” call?
And yes, I am a Moon-or-bust person. Count me in! (Particularly since I wasn’t around to witness the first manned lunar missions - having been there or not, it’s still a major feat to pull it off)
1 reply
August 2022
▶ chip
Fortunately or unfortunately, depending on your point of view, most of us are gray-haired enough we know who Alice is and why she’s relevant. “To the moon!”
1 reply
August 2022
I can see little advantage of a moon base, that can’t be more easily and (much cheaply) achieved with orbiting space stations. The moon base requires passing through its gravitational potential energy well- - twice for each payload, plus with risk of a impact on landing. The idea of mining is ridiculously infeasible. Any substance mined there would be hugely more expensive, after space transport both ways, than mining on Earth. Mining requires heavy machinery. Transporting bulldozers or equivalent machines to the moon is infeasible being way too heavy. Building permanent life supporting facilities has huge problems. Where does the food and air come from? Consider the fragility of such a base, where any breach of the air seal is quickly fatal.
The robustness of Earth based equipment and facilities are a near an impossibility to reproduce on the moon. The scale of what is required is not widely understood. The construction in the hard vacuum of space (I.e., the moons surface) and the enormous energy expenditures of overcoming gravity potential wells, constant life support, pose difficulties not easily appreciated.
Financing this, when we are in massive debt seems like a poor choice. It will probably not happen ( the whole moon base).
Almost any scientific study can be done by orbital and robotic instruments. The Webb telescope is a good example. I feel like I have only scratched the surface of the massive infeasibility of such a manned moon base, even worse on Mars. But in the early stages, media hype keeps interest alive for funding. Until the realities sink in. Then it will be cancelled.
4 replies
August 2022
▶ jdd633
“ Almost any scientific study can be done by orbital and robotic instruments.”
There are hundreds of hours of video and thousands of books and pictures documenting Yellowstone National park. There is no information in the park that the average visitor can’t glean from current documentation.
Yet, the park hosted 4,860,537 recreation visits in 2021. A federal report shows visitors to Yellowstone National Park spent nearly $513 million in neighboring communities in 2016.
Why is it, that these visitors to Yellowstone spend the time, effort and millions of dollars to visit the park when they can get the same information from a free PBS special posted on YouTube?
I know many a pilot that will fire up the 172 to bore holes in the sky, burning a few gallons of 100LL to visit an on field restaurant to grab a hamburger.
Why is it, that these pilots spend he time, effort and dollars to fire up the 172 when they could have had the same burger or better, cheaper, delivered to their door without getting up from the barcalounger?
1 reply
August 2022
▶ KlausM
"Give’ them the money?
They should be earning it, as most of the people you name are - and I say would be on other things.
The notion that government must create jobs is illogical, disproven by history.
August 2022
▶ KirkW
Elon has never “conveniently” left out that they were building on past R&D experience from NASA. He has acknowledged that fact many times.
August 2022
▶ Robert_Ore
I get what you are driving at, but the implied comparisons are vastly out of proportion.
1 reply
August 2022
▶ kent.misegades
I get the sentiment. But, there are A LOT of other lines in the Federal budget that I would much rather see gone before this one. Some of them I would gladly trim at risk of personal job security. Whatever our motivations were for starting it, US Human Space Flight brought a lot of wonder to my childhood and is no small part of the reason that I’m an engineer, a pilot, and doing the particular job that I’m doing these days. My personal opinion is that we lost something as a country, maybe even as a species, when we let real exploration, and the learning that comes with it, take a back seat to ceaseless bickering over partisan junk and the endless “social” programs of voter-pandering wealth reallocation.
So, yeah, count me in with Paul. Light those candles and let ‘em fly.
August 2022
▶ jdd633
As Kennedy said, and is still relevant today, we go because it is hard. It’s the drive for knowledge, and as good as remote devices like Webb and Curiosity, etc are, nothing is the same as actually physically being there.
Also, back in the 50s when manned spaceflight was beginning, the same infeasibilities you speak of were said about manned spaceflight in general. Who knows what will be feasible in 70 years from now.
1 reply
August 2022
▶ jdd633
Agreed. The comparisons are orders of magnitude out of proportion.
However, the question of “why” for either is the same. I suspect the answer to “why” for either is closely related.
August 2022
▶ gmbfly98
You’d have to specify what knowledge is valuable to us on earth.
Much more development of things and methods on earth, including medical and psychology of voters electing grandstanding pandering profligate politicians.
August 2022
▶ jdd633
John D, you may want to research ‘Helium-3’. A promising fusion candidate. Scientist still have to figure out how to build Helium-3 Fusion plants but, can’t advance to the next level if we don’t move forward.
August 2022
▶ KirkW
Why would you start from scratch? Using available technology and practices that are available would seem to be a given. Nobody else has ever been able to return a primary stage and land it safely on a floating platform out in the ocean, ready to be inspected, cleaned up, refused and used for many more flights. Now that’s a hell of an accomplishment in itself!
August 2022
▶ Bruce_S
“Taxes are the money we pay for civilization.”
August 2022
▶ gmbfly98
Yeah, sorry, I’m a stodgy old engineer. The middle of a flight is not the time for waxing poetic.
August 2022
▶ jdd633
John D., the orbiting station you prefer would still have most of the same problems as a moon base, except for the “gravity well” issue. The station would still be operating in a vacuum, which exposes it to the same leak issues as on the surface. All supplies, including oxygen, food and water would have to be ferried up from earth. In space, the astronauts are exposed to solar radiation that could be mitigated by proper shelters on the surface. One reason for the base being located at the poles is the presence of water that could be used to possibly grow crops in proper conditions (eg. hydroponics) as well as making breathable air and hydrogen fuel for return rocket trips. Mining is not the main purpose of such a mission. Besides, with 1/6 of earth gravity, industrial machines would not need to be as massive as on earth. The main purpose of a moon base is to figure out how people will live and be self-sufficient for extended periods in a hostile environment, which is essential for any future deep-space missions to other planets. As someone else said, looking at pictures is fine, but sooner or later, people will want to go see for themselves. It’s in our DNA.
August 2022
Repeating what I said in my reply to the poll, “Other”: is it three, or four ? generations since we have BT,DT. We simply need to polish the concept that we can still do a 180 and get back home with different equipment.
August 2022
▶ Dave_S
One of these days, you mean.
September 2022
▶ kent.misegades
Even $20 billion in cost overruns are a drop in the bucket of government spending. The federal debt is literally 1,000 times larger than SLS. Two thirds of the federal budget goes to social security and Medicare. NASA gets less than half a percent.
I agree that SLS is too expensive and obsolete, but it’s just not worth worrying about.